Sal On

 

The narrative of last year's Brewers team was that there were suddenly tons of young, rookie-to-second-year guys who were in position to succeed and capable of leading this team to glory. The narrative of this year's Brewers team is 'oh shit, there's even more!'

Already this season, we've seen rookie performers like Logan Henderson, Isaac Collins, Caleb Durbin, Chad Patrick, Craig Yoho and now Jacob Misiorowski coming up and joining the fun. Many of them have done extremely well. Isaac Collins has 4 homers, 19 RBIs and 8 steals, and is already in the running for Rookie of the Year. Durbin has 29 RBIs and 10 doubles in 59 games. Logan Henderson went 3-0 with a 1.71 ERA, and the only reason he's not up in the majors right now is that Miz, who pitched a beaut yesterday against Pittsburgh, has only allowed 3 hits and 0 runs in 3 starts. Until someone either gets injured or pulls an Aaron Civale, Henderson will likely stay in the minors, despite his MLB success. 

That's how many good young players the Brewers have right now. Because they have Freddy Peralta, Quinn Priester, Chad Patrick and Miz all in their sweet spots, they can give Jose Quintana, who's still on decent pace, some starts and continue to let Henderson develop. You also have to remember that Jefferson Quero is still hanging out in Triple-A and doesn't need to come up yet because William Contreras and Eric Haase are so good behind the plate. Hell, they just got Andrew Vaughn from the White Sox, and they haven't needed him in the majors yet because A.) he still kinda sucks, and B.) Joey Ortiz and Rhys Hoskins are better-hitting first basemen. 

The Brewers have options. Case in point: their outfield right now is Jackson Chourio, who's been on a tear recently, Sal Frelick, who's hitting .295 with 31 RBIs, and Collins, who's had an excellent rookie season. That's three young OF options who'll likely be around for a while. Frelick especially has been impressing people this season, and it's nice that he's become a fixture there after his fun come-up in 2023. Turang and Yelich are doing their usual thing, Abner Uribe's become an excellent setup option, and Trevor Megill's still holding his own at RP1. The pieces are there, and there's enough variance and depth to ensure that nothing goes exceptionally wrong.

And let's not even get into the obvious: Brandon Woodruff and Blake Perkins are still expected to return this year. So as good as the Brewers are right now, and gaining fast on the Cubs, they could be even better in a month's time. How cool is that?

Coming Tonight: Hard-hitting 1st baseman just trying to keep everyone from heading for the exits.

Sal of the Century

 

In every full season since 2017, the Milwaukee Brewers have finished with 86 wins or more. This includes years they didn't make the playoffs [2017 and 2022]. And despite having a 95-win season in 2021, all of these recent campaigns have ended the same way. Since Craig Counsell became the manager, the Brewers had one season where they were inches from a World Series, that classic 2018 NLCS where they were doing back and forth with LA. And that's as close as they got, as every subsequent playoff attempt was met with an early exit from the playoffs, including a string of years where the Brewers couldn't even get past the first rung.

So, when Craig Counsell took David Ross's position in Chicago this year, it felt at the time like an upgrade for Chicago. The big contract team finally getting the big-game skipper. But now, in hindsight, it feels like the same kinda move the Yankees made back in the day, firing Joe Girardi for continuing to not get them a ring, and hiring Aaron Boone who...well...got them a little closer. And so Pat Murphy being the guy who leads a Brewers team that looks like they're gonna eclipse a lot of the Counsell ones almost immediately is...a fun development that nobody really knew they were getting. 

This Brewers team, even without Yelich or Woodruff, feels so much more consistent, and so much better formed all over. There are proven answers at every position. Going into the year, there were a lot of stabs in the dark, like 'I guess Joey Ortiz goes here' or 'I dunno if Perkins or Mitchell has this one', but things feel really cemented with this team. Sal Frelick has pinned down right field, not just with his diving catches back there but his excellent contact work. The fans seem to have gravitated towards Frelick, which shouldn't be a shock whatsoever. Blake Perkins has the defensive leg up for center field, despite the fact that Garrett Mitchell is also pretty good on defense as well. Joey Ortiz, who, again, was kind of an afterthought at third, has been an everyday guy with 48 RBIs this year. And Contreras, Adames, Turang and Chourio are all stars, and this year's confirmed it.

It also just seems like all the pieces have really come together. Devin Williams is back and is in peak form, with 8 saves already. Frankie Montas and Aaron Civale have been excellent additions to the rotation. Freddy Peralta's proving that leaving him the head of the rotation wasn't a bad idea. Eric Haase has become a really fun bench piece. Rhys Hoskins, even if he's having a one-dimensional year, has still been a tremendous source of power. Hell, Willy Adames has his first 100+ RBI year ever, that's a pretty big deal.

This Brewers team not only seems great right now, they seem well engineered. The last few years there's been a feeling of 'they could surprise some people', but I do see this Brewers team winning playoff series' and being a clear standout. It will come down to seeding, and they could get handed an opponent that does something crazy, but with how good they've been recently, and how many great players they have truly surging right now, I have a really good feeling.

Coming Tomorrow- Ironically, the Brewers' former closer.

Wild Card Series' Day 2: Well, That Was Easy

 

I mean, I kinda assumed one of these Wild Card series' would go all three, but damn. Two days of games and we're out. Alright then. Makes it a lot easier.

I think the MLB guys knew that the Rangers-Rays series would have the most obvious outcome, which is why they played 'em so early. The Rangers came within inches of a division title, as did the Rays, but of the two teams that petered off after the first half, the Rangers still felt the most like a contender. Meanwhile, the Rays' starting pitching paled in comparison to the Rangers', and just putting up Nate Eovaldi and Jordan Montgomery, ironically two ex-Yankees, was enough to silence the Rays for good. The biggest takeaway from this wild card series was Evan Carter, the rookie who homered his way into legitimacy among Rangers fans, and made himself just another big part of the team's future. The Rangers may not meet with their sworn enemies immediately, but I see this Rangers-Orioles series being tough, potentially going all 5 games, and taking the most out of both teams. Honestly? The Rangers might be able to win this one, if the pitching stays as solid on their end.

The Twins winning rights two MLB wrongs. One is the obvious, giving them a series win for the first time in two decades. The other has been bugging me for years: the last time a central divisional team won a playoff series was 2019, and it was those stinking Cardinals. All of the 2020, 2021 and 2022 campaigns went without a single playoff series win by any of the ten teams from the central divisions. The 2019 Twins, 2020-21 White Sox, 2022 Guardians, and LITERALLY ALL FOUR CENTRAL TEAMS THAT MADE THE 2020 PLAYOFFS, could not advance. So having the Twins finally break that streak felt really good. 

It's also cool that somebody like Willi Castro got to play a big part in this win. The Twins have gotten material out of their stars, but they've let Donovan Solano, Willi Castro, Bailey Ober and Edouard Julien have their moments as well. This is a very fun Twins team, and them advancing was honestly a foregone conclusion after their September. I just hope they have enough to take down Houston. Could you IMAGINE an ALCS year for Minnesota? Wouldn't that be awesome??

The Diamondbacks taking their Wild Card series was one I sort of saw coming, even if I still figured the Brewers could sneak up when they least expected it. But somehow the Arizona bullpen shut these guys out in later innings, and the D-Backs lineup kept raining down on this once-strong Milwaukee team. Evan Longoria had the big moment last night, and tonight Tommy Pham brought in an RBI and cemented his place on this team. Pham's had a troubled few years, but I think he's evaded some of his rotten luck and is back to doing things right. 

The D-Backs will need a lot more of this luck to evade the Dodgers, who, like usual, seek to claim an easy playoff spot. I see a slight chance of an upset, but the D-Backs will have to work for it.

And, once again, we have the hometown team. I was a little nervous when Thomson put up Nola for this game, as he's only briefly shown true greatness this year. I shouldn't have worried. Nola went 7 strong without allowing any runs, and worked some true postseason magic while Realmuto, Schwarber, Turner and Stott made swiss cheese of the Marlins' pitching. Braxton Garrett getting lit up I could have guessed, but the bullpen as well? Andrew Nardi, who's been excellent this year? This team really is legit. 

The Phillies will need to hope lightning strikes twice against Atlanta. Miami was very much the easy part; the Braves have one of the most ferocious offenses in the majors, and while there is the factor of lessening momentum, which did cloud their September, the Braves still could be trouble. I could see this series going either way. I just want to believe the Phillies can make this happen. The stars look like they're aligning. They just need to keep fighting.

And as for the fallen:

The 2023 Rays team were...a Tampa Bay Rays team. They're all the same to me at this point. They all do the same things, use the same kinds of players, have the same issues. This year's had a ton more pitching injuries and the single most unfortunate thing to come out about a guy they have signed for 10 years. I assume there will be players traded this offseason to offset costs. Manny Margot, I hope you haven't signed a lease in St. Pete..

The one sad part of the Twins advancing is that the Jays, who will once again end their surefire playoff run right after it's started, still can't deliver on their promises. They have the team, they have the foundation, they certainly have the pitching...they just can't get it done. And yanking Jose Berrios, thereby undoing the thread that held this game together for the Jays, was the most heartbreaking part. Had he stayed in, there's a chance they would have legged it out.

I hope next year is the year things change. Though, again, if everybody in the AL East competes, it still could be very difficult for them. 

Similarly, since 2018 the Brewers haven't gotten anything done in October either, and this team, despite a strong regular season finish, fell to a wild card team, the only division leader this year to do so in this round. Sal Frelick was one of the few people that made me think the Brewers could make it close, as he contributed to an early offensive boost before the 5th and 6th innings. 

The Brewers need to ensure that the team consistently succeeds at the plate. Cause having 3 guys that can hit isn't gonna cut it going forward. Not when the Cubs and Reds also exist.

I genuinely thought the Marlins were gonna make it a 3-game series. Out of all of them. With Josh Bell hitting as well as he was, I thought they could drum something up against the bullpen. But with no Sandy Alcantara, no Eury Perez, and the feeling that something was missing from this lineup, there was no chance for them. Aside from Bell, no other Marlins really did anything too special this series, and it saddens me, because they looked so fun during the heat of the season.

It will be tough for the Marlins to try something like this again, but not impossible, especially if everyone stays healthy. 

So now we've got our division series' matchups. Some I think I can predict, some I don't want to even try. I just know they're gonna be interesting. The absolute worst case scenario is getting a boring outcome. We do not want Astros-Dodgers again, or even honestly Astros-Braves. I wanna see something I've never seen before. Two teams that haven't been here in a while, or have NEVER been here, and can make an entertaining, enjoyable World Series experience. I just hope that isn't too much to ask.