Capitalized

 

I dunno, I think it's kinda ironic that the Mets, this past weekend, got clobbered at CitiField by a guy named Shea.

Here's how variable the AL West has been recently. Since their New York trip, the A's are suddenly in 1st place, after starting the season 3-6. They were 1-5 before they got to Houston, and then they took two from the Astros, which isn't especially difficult this year, then two from the Yankees and then a full sweep of the Mets. And now they're leading the division. Interesting to note that I don't think anything's drastically different between stretches. I just think they've woken up, and are finally playing to potential after a rough opening week. 

It's funny, I was looking through my current hitters binder today, cause I try to collect a handful of current guys, and for the first time since everybody left after the 2021 season, the A's have a really well stocked lineup. And this is even with Rooker hurt. Kurtz, Butler, Soderstrom, Wilson, Langeliers and Muncy represent years of development all paying off at once. If the most notable 'hired hand' guy is Jeff McNeil, who actually isn't doing too badly and sprung to life against his former team, then they're doing something right.

The secret weapon of this A's team that everyone underestimates is Shea Langeliers, who's once again off to a crazy power-hitting start with 5 homers and 10 RBIs. I think it's just tough, in a division with Cal Raleigh in it, to be a notable power hitting catcher. Langeliers has it tough, Yanier Diaz, Kyle Higashioka...it's just tricky. But Langeliers, while he may lack the name brand recognition, is still a crucial part of this lineup, and he's not bad defensively either. Kurtz and Wilson are probably the more impressive all-around players, but having a catcher that belts is always a good thing. Better than having to start Austin Hedges 4 out of 5 games. 

You're seeing the A's begin to form that sort of fun depth that every great team needs. Carlos Cortes is the hungry bench bat with killer perks. Denzel Clarke's the web gem guy, in the grand tradition of Ramon Laureano and Billy Burns. Hogan Harris is the resident long relief specialist now. Jack Perkins also hosts Biography on the side, it's a whole thing. And while this team is still in desperate need of homegrown starting pitching, having comeback seasons from both Aaron Civale, which is surprising and welcome, and Jeffrey Springs, which...annoys me, is definitely helpful. Jacob Lopez is that guy filling the void, and I don't know if he's enough right now. He's also 28. 

I think the reason why everything looks so much sunnier and optimistic for this A's team is that, even keeping in mind the temporary nature of it, the A's are finally wearing 'Sacramento' on their chests and playing as the Sacramento Athletics, even if the MLB isn't word-for-word granting them that. But hey, it says so on the jerseys. Sacramento A's. No use hiding it. 

But yeah, if the A's do intend to take off and make a run, I'm 100% behind them. I think this team can outhit a lot of people, and so far they've really done so. Maybe the world is ready for the A's to be good again. I know I certainly am.

Coming Tomorrow- He made his debut over TEN YEARS AGO. TEN. Making me feel ancient. And he's still in the exact same city, playing the exact same big game situations. 

Arch Arrival

 You know, 30 years ago, if a guy spent his first three seasons in the majors striking out 100 times without hitting anywhere above .200 and then suddenly becomes a consistent and powerful hero, it's because of one of two things. Either he's juicing...or he's just a late bloomer. And there weren't really a lot of late bloomers in the 90s because all the late bloomers just took steroids. 

But now that the development periods are different, you either get people who get called up in their early 20s and waste no time, people who don't get called up til their mid-to-late 20s and make it count, or people who get called up in their early 20s, struggle for a couple years and then after the MLB development time lock into place. And even if I prefer players get called up in their early 20s, we have seen that more frequently nowadays. Casey Mize was like that, Jo Adell was like that, Nico Hoerner was like that, and now Jordan Walker is like that. For three years he was absolutely unfit for the majors, and struggled to do anything at the plate. Now he is 25, and he's hit 7 home runs in 15 games. Keep in mind that his previous single season home run total is 16, from his rookie season in 2023.

Just when the novelty was running out, Jordan Walker's apparently arrived. And that really says a lot about the Cardinals. They know people were just giving up on them, and they're still finding ways to surprise people. Jordan Walker hitting home runs left and right is one way, Gorman and Burleson forming a pretty solid power core finally is another. The Cardinals don't have a ton to work with this year, but they're still not completely out of the conversation.

First of all, as was becoming evident last season, the bullpen. Riley O'Brien, JoJo Romero, George Soriano and Gordon Graceffo have had terrific springs so far, with O'Brien and Romero having yet to give up an earned run. O'Brien has also moved into a consistent 9th inning spot, and that's gone super well so far. Soriano is looking way better in St. Louis than he did in Miami. And even if it's very clear that something is very wrong with Matt Svanson, the core of this bullpen is definitely enough to really rest on. Getting McGreevy, Liberatore and Leahy to provide more consistent starting protection is the next step, but considering this is a year where, for the first time in ages, the Cardinals really don't have a proven ace, I think it's logical that this group takes some time to find itself. Who knows, it could be somebody like Tekoah Roby, Tink Hence, Brycen Mautz or Cooper Hjerpe. Then again I'm mostly just waiting for Jurrangelo Cijntje to come up cause I wanna say his name. Ooh, those dutch pronunciations are fun!

I think with J.J. Wetherholt in this lineup, the Cardinals stand more of a chance in the long run. If Wetherholt and Winn are gonna be there for a while, that's a perfectly respectable foundation to work around, and the pieces are gonna fall into place. I think it does mean Alec Burleson and Ivan Herrera might need to go at the deadline, because I don't know if they'll be able to break even by July. But it does show more optimism and forward momentum than the team had in the last few years. 

Who knows, with an organization as well-run as the Cardinals' maybe it'll take far less than 11 years to rebound from a stunning playoff loss to the Phillies.

Coming Tonight: One of the best power-hitting catchers in the AL. Very glad he's out of New York for a bit. 

Cosmic Rays

 

Y'know...a week ago the Yankees could have scored runs off of Nick Martinez.

I dunno, man. You think you have a team figured out and then they can't do anything against Aaron Civale, then can't mount a comeback against a clearly mediocre Rays team. The Rays' bullpen has been vile this year, and still David Bednar goes 'watch this' and ruins everything.

What can't be disputed, even if I'd try to whine about how undeserving the Rays are of a .500 record even if they outperformed the Yankees at home, is the talent emanating from Chandler Simpson. THAT is a leadoff hitter. Get on base, hits triples, steals, gets home. Everything you want. The man is a contact machine, and he could ride a .300+ average for a while at this rate. 'Pesky' is a good word for someone like Simpson, and it's clearer to me how tough of an out he's gonna be in every subsequent Yankees series. At least last year the speedy tough out guy on the Rays could get traded to New York midseason and wind up as a fun utility guy here. Simpson's gonna be a Ray for at least another two years, maybe three if the Rays can't find a good enough trade partner in time. 

I say that, yet they still haven't managed to get rid of Yandy Diaz, and they're better for it. I never would have thought THIS GUY would be a valuable veteran power bat. I saw him as a fill-in infield guy playing for Cleveland in 2017 and I didn't really think too much of him, and then he goes to Tampa and becomes a white-hot power hitting corner. Diaz is currently hitting .362 with 21 hits, 14 RBIs and 3 homers. I know that the Rays expected someone like Aranda or Caminero to be off to a hotter power start, but they'll take more Yandy Diaz production, I know that. And admittedly Jonathan Aranda has 3 homers and 14 RBIs himself, so he's just heating up.

I think the perks of this Rays team get overlooked because it's so easy to see the flaws. Once again, they have no choice but to start Taylor Walls at shortstop, meaning they're wasting like 3 at-bats a game. The Cedric Mullins experiment is not working out yet, and he may in fact just be past his prime. The bullpen is still a major problem area, as even in today's win Mason Englert let an Aaron Judge homer by and nearly wrecked the game. The days of having a murderer's row of sneaky, unhittable specialists all in a line are gone; now these guys are just trying to keep a job. Only Hunter Bigge and Jesse Scholtens have ERAs below 2.50, and Scholtens arguably should be starting. At the very least Rasmussen, Matz and Martinez have been solid so far, but considering that Martinez was already a 'break in case of emergency' starter, and Ryan Pepiot's missing time, them having to reach into depth options IN APRIL isn't a great sign. This is why you don't trade Taj Bradley.

A sweep of the Yankees is a good source of dopamine, but it's still early, and this is still a weaker, flawed Rays team. Unless this really is a moment of pure turnaround, the Rays need to come to terms with their limitations or face another really rough July.

Coming Tomorrow- After three years of 'is he for real', 7 homers in 3 and a half weeks seem to provide a definitive answer to that.

Some Bounce, Some Don't

 

When you're dealing with two notoriously all-time-bad teams, your immediate inclination is to judge which one is worse solely on which one returns to something resembling 'good' faster. I think about how bad the early 2010s Astros were, and it took them til 2014 or 2015 to craft something palpable. The Rays, meanwhile, went from a 4th place team in '07 to a 1st place juggernaut in 2008. It really depends on organizational stuff, what's baking in the minors, what the team can retain, who's ready when. Lot of factors go into it.

So watching the Rockies and White Sox this season is definitely interesting, because you're waiting to see how long it's gonna take both teams to reform and contend again. With the amount of time passed since the White Sox bottomed out vs. the Rockies, you'd think Chicago would be progressing further, but not even Pope Leo shining on them could make the team look any better right now. 

The depth that was forming last year with this White Sox team seems to be evaporating. Brooks Baldwin, Mike Vasil and Kyle Teel, three signs of growth from last year, are all hurt right now. And the roster is simply wearing thin. The starting pitching seems even more pedestrian than before, and now that Shane Smith has been demoted and Jonathan Cannon is out for a bit, the team is down to Sean Burke, Davis Martin and Anthony Kay as viable starting options. Martin currently looks the best, he's 2-0 with 12 Ks through 3 starts, but that's a 5 man line for most other teams. Kay has a 2.45 ERA through 3 starts, and though Erick Fedde exists as a stark reminder that the post-international-leagues bump can wear off fast, he's still being relied upon. But beyond that...lots of openers and replacement level guys. It's not a great look, and it looks even worse when you line up the Sox' hitters, where really only Munetaka Murakami has done anything. Meidroth and Vargas have made some headway but the team's hitting .204 cumulatively. It's not pretty.

You can hope they improve over time, or as they get better pieces back, but it even looks like a setback from last year, which still wasn't terrific.

The Rockies, meanwhile, have shown immediate improvement over their dismal 2025 numbers. Some incredible things you're hearing. The bullpen kept runs down during a homestead. There's multiple starters, including Tomoyuki Sugano, who are really impressive. The young kids hanging around for starts last year are actually earning them now. So far the team's best hitter has been T.J. Rumfield, a career minor leaguer snagged in a deal that sent Angel Chivilli to the Yankees['s minor league system]. Rumfield jumped right in at 1st and is hitting .326 with 14 hits, 8 RBIs and 2 homers in 13 games. 

It's wild to see a core begin to come together for this team when nothing was happening last year. Troy Johnston has joined the power core and is looking like a definite everyday option [while Jordan Beck is looking less and less like one]. Mickey Moniak is hitting all sorts of homers off the bench. Tovar and Goodman still like decent organizational cornerstones right now. Kyle Freeland is still a very nice starting option, and has a 2.30 ERA in 3 starts. And somehow the team figured out that Antonio Senzatela doesn't completely shit the bed if you bring him out as a bullpen option. I knew the Rockies' pen had some nice options, but seeing all of Jimmy Herget, Jaden Hill, Victor Vodnik, Juan Mejia and Brennan Bernardino all looking genuinely great out there is a surprising, and excellent, sign. 

It is odd that I see the Rockies doing more this season than the White Sox, especially considering how the pitching could turn at any minute in that stadium, but the Rockies just seem better put together right now, and have more actual strengths. It could evaporate at any second, I'm aware, but the way things are going now, I see the Rockies looking 'good' sooner than the White Sox. 

Coming Tonight: A guy who absolutely refuses to be an easy out. Naturally he's playing my team this weekend. 

Not The Hit They Had In Mind

 

I know I just said this about the Orioles, but the Angels are a deeply strange team this year. While the Orioles' strangeness is helping them stay good...I'm still not entirely sure where the Angels' strangeness is taking them. Anywhere?

First of all, I don't think the Angels are competing this year. Far too much empty space going on for that. If Jack Kochanowicz and Reid Detmers are in pivotal starting positions and Oswald Peraza is, I assume, the everyday 2B option, then clearly we're a few drafts away. And that's not even mentioning that the contracted guys, like Yusei Kikuchi, Yoan Moncada, Drew Pomeranz and Jorge Soler are not pulling their weight. The most notable thing Jorge Soler has done in two seasons in Anaheim has been trying to punch a guy for throwing at his head when he's notoriously proficient in hitting off of him. Remember when he hit 40 home runs consistently? Can he, like, do that anymore?

The stranger story is the people who are zooming to life and leading the team nearly out of nowhere. Jo Adell, last week, had a night where he robbed three straight Mariners home runs in iconic, SI-spread fashion, and that should be an indication to anyone that after years of waiting, Adell is finally a viable MLB option. His strong 2025 helped, but now he's finally showing how multifaceted he can be, complete with some contact moments this year, some defensive moments, and, yes, a home run or two. I think the Angels were expecting Adell to be this guy from the jump but the relief is palpable nonetheless.

And then you have Jose Soriano, giving this team a homegrown ace at last. The Angels have had to rely on signings like Tyler Anderson and Yusei Kikuchi to head up the rotation for the longest time, with homegrown guys like Sandoval and Canning trying to pick up the slack but inevitably getting hurt. Finally, Soriano is THE guy for this team, and right now he's 3-0 with a 1.2 WAR, 21 Ks and only 1 earned run in his first three starts. If we can eventually get Grayson Rodriguez, Caden Dana and George Klassen to file in behind him and make up a young, dominant backbone in addition to the help Kikuchi has provided, this team could be in better shape going forward.

Aside from that, this is still Mike Trout's team, and this is still Zach Neto's lineup to lead. The Angels have taken two from Seattle and two from Houston so far this season, they're holding their own in a tough division, and they've somehow gotten Jordan Romano to find his control again. Even for a year with low expectations, things are starting out pretty alright for this team, and it's better than the alternative.

Coming Tomorrow- The Phillies gave up on him, the Yankees gave up on him, and the worst team in the league was conveniently in the market for a corner infield bat.

2026 in Getting Out of Tampa

 
The cycle continues. The Rays get something together, then realize they have to play their players, trade people away, and then once again the Rays get something together. Absolutely exhausting.

Right now the Rays have only 1 guy left from the 2020 A.L. Championship season, namely Yandy Diaz. Last season had 3, and two of them were actively either dealt or cut. Now it's down to one. Occasionally you hear talks of Junior Caminero getting a longterm extension, possibly Jonathan Aranda, but nothing permanent comes down. I'll give the Rays credit for signing more free agents than usual, as Steven Matz, Nick Martinez, Cedric Mullins and Jake Fraley wound up here in signings. But that's not distracting from the fact that any homegrown talent is there to attract trade promise and net them even more young, controllable players. This has been the MO since the Kevin Cash years, pure small ball without overextending. The few times they actually sign players, they gamble incorrectly, like with Wander Franco.

And then when people finally get out of Tampa, and get paid...then it's easier for them to have breakout seasons, or even just strong years in general. You're seeing that all around. Taj Bradley got dealt last year for Griffin Jax, and so far he's been one of the best players on a rough Twins roster, going 2-0 with 22 Ks in his first 3 starts. Every bit uncomfortable and unpolished Bradley felt in Tampa is gone, and he's more confident than ever in Minneapolis. Then you have Brandon Lowe, who had another great season last year, then got traded to the Pirates and has been extremely helpful for them this year, with 4 RBIs and 3 home runs in 11 games, in addition to some traditionally strong infield play. Lowe looked to be one of the Rays' last two veterans, and now he's playing for a team that actually seems to be going somewhere.

Sifting through each of the other rosters, it is very easy to find players the Rays gave up on to meet a budget quota. And while we're here...

Angels: Josh Lowe, a late offseason trade loss thanks to a strong desire for Gavin Lux. Lowe was a fairly regular producer for the Rays, and with the Angels he's been slower to start but still getting enough reps.

Astros: Isaac Paredes, one of the Rays' more baffling midseason trades, is the starting third baseman in Houston, and already has 4 doubles and 5 RBIs in a prime position in this lineup. 

A's: Jeffrey Springs, in case none of you are aware, nearly no-hit my team today. That happening now...just seems way too on the nose. The Rays got rid of him a year ago after they grew tired of waiting for him to come back to full power, and the A's actually gave him some money. Only a matter of time before his arm gives out again though. 

Brewers: Jake Bauers was last with the Rays back before any of these people whose departures have pissed me off were even with the team, really. He got sent to Cleveland in the deal that traded Yandy Diaz to Tampa. Since then his career has died and come back, and now he's a handy bench bat with Milwaukee. 

Cardinals: Matthew Liberatore was a longtime Rays organizational staple before he was dealt for Jose Martinez [and also another guy named Arozarena]. He finally made it to the bigs, and is the closest thing the team has to an ace right now. 

Dodgers: Tyler Glasnow and Blake Snell, most notably.

Giants: One of the most egregious ones was Willy Adames, traded during a peak season solely to make room for Wander Franco. Then, when he was suspended and they were left with Taylor Walls and a clearl-not-ready-yet Junior Caminero, they had no one to blame but themselves.

Mariners: Lots, honestly. Randy Arozarena, Luke Raley, Cooper Criswell. Arozarena, like Paredes, was one of those 'you're just doing this to avoid paying him' deals, and while Arozarena has found more success in Seattle, he really should have become a Rays hero. 

Marlins: Xavier Edwards was another infield prospect that just couldn't find room, then got dealt and found playing time and his mojo. Pete Fairbanks was a truly unfair post-2025 cut, and had been doing well enough in a closing role for the Marlins before going on paternity leave. 

Nationals: Zack Littell had become a really nice starting piece for the Rays, and for his troubles he was dealt to the Reds. Now the Nats have him, and he's been serviceable. 

Orioles: Andrew Kittredge ended last year with the Cubs, yet still had a desire to return to the Orioles, because he seemed to enjoy it so much in the first half. That's not even mentioning folks like Shane Baz and Zach Eflin, two pieces of a near-powerful rotation that the Rays had no incentive to keep. 

Padres: You may recall that Jake Cronenworth was a Rays farmhand before his inclusion in the Hunter Renfroe deal. Dodged that bullet, I guess, or else, like Renfroe, he might be a journeyman by now.

Pirates: Jake Mangum and Mason Montgomery were also sent to Tampa in the Lowe deal. Both have found niche roles in Pittsburgh that aren't terribly different from their niche roles in Tampa.

Reds: Both Nathaniel Lowe and Emilio Pagan had crucial roles in competitive Rays teams. Neither have had tremendous starts to this season, but Pagan at least has 4 saves right now. 

Twins: Joe Ryan, like Bradley, was a Rays farmhand. Ryan was dealt for Nelson Cruz, found his way up in Minnesota and became a star.

Yankees: The Rays really could have kept Jose Caballero if they wanted to, but they traded the then-season saves leader to the Yankees, and since then Cabby's been a wise, trusty infield fill-in. 

I'm not sure if any lockout or bargaining agreement or salary cap or ANYTHING can change the way the Rays run their team. It's a very cheap way of doing business, and with no checks or balances against it from the MLB level, they're gonna keep doing it. I don't think they'll ever win a World Series this way, and I don't think the Rays Wall of Fame will be especially long if every plaque ends with 'after a strong four seasons he was dealt to a competitor, where he was paid more and won a World Series'. 

Coming Tomorrow- One of many pieces of proof in Anaheim that good things come to those who wait.

Could You Go About This Any Less Strangely?

 

Okay, we're two and a half weeks in and I'm already calling it, the Orioles are the strangest good team in the game. I dunno how to explain it. This team is working in some sort of mystical, black magic sort of way. Like, y'know how because the Saints play in New Orleans you can make the case sometimes that there'll be some voodoo ritual explaining why they're good? There's no baseball team in New Orleans, so you can't really do anything like that in the MLB, but...I get the strangest feeling with this O's team. This 'skeleton band of the dead' sort of breeze rushing through 'em. I don't know how else to explain it.

Because it's built in the way that a good team should be built. The Orioles finally have good money behind them. Pete Alonso's paid for, at least for a little while. Shane Baz and Samuel Basallo are sticking around indefinitely. I'd hazard a guess that Gunnar Henderson might be next for one of those. But...the guys being backed by contracts aren't the guys pushing the team. Alonso's done okay so far, only 1 homer and 3 RBIs. Basallo has 1 solo homer to his name, nothing else. Baz has been fine, solid if unspectacular. 

It feels like the people doing well for the Orioles right now are the people that everyone, including the team, counted out. And that goes for Adley Rutschman especially. Remember last year when everyone thought the O's were gonna trade him to Philly for Dante Nori or something, since Basallo's in for a while? Well...the funny thing about Samuel Basallo is he's not a viable catching option right now. So even after a down, injury-addled year, the Orioles needed Adley Rutschman. So him hitting like old Adley shouldn't be too shocking. He's batting .241, but he's got 4 RBIs and 7 hits, including 4 doubles. The production is to the degree that it was, as is his catching skills. This is a comeback season in the making, and with Henderson swatting 4 homers and counting and Taylor Ward surprisingly fitting right in with this team, he's instilled more confidence in this team's outlook.

But the strangeness is more in the odds and ends guys, the people I wasn't even thinking about. Like with Yennier Cano a few years ago, the Orioles have struck gold with an oft-cut relief option, namely Rico Garcia, a 32-year-old journeyman who's FINALLY locked in as a member of the O's, scoreless and hitless through 6 appearances. Ryan Helsley, after a disastrous 2025 in Queens, has bounced back big time, and already has 4 saves in 5 appearances. Brandon Young, who would either go deep into a no-no or get clobbered by 3 last year, was pretty fantastic in his first start of 2026. The staff ace, need I remind you, is Trevor Rogers, who everyone counted out after the injury. The requisite utility infielder is Blaze Alexander, who, at least before last game, was batting .300.

Even for a .500 team, the Orioles are getting boosts from the wildest places, and it makes me feel really good about their odds as a spoiler this year. The pressure of keeping 1st is mostly off, now they're trying to embarrass the big guns, and I think they can do that. Then when all the injured guys get back they'll be even more of a favorite.

Coming Tonight: I used to think the Twins were just desperate for pitching period, but maybe they really saw something in this kid. 

The Talent Runs Out

 

D'you think...like, when the Padres traded Ryan Bergert and Stephen Kolek for Freddy Fermin, someone in the front office, anyone, had the thought of 'wait, is our pitching depth gonna withstand this move?'. Because I'd like to think one of them would have foreseen an April like this one, with a skeleton crew of a rotation trying to prove the team's legitimacy, and maybe gone '...don't we have anyone else we could deal?'

Right now, the Padres' rotation, which used to sport a treasure trove of excellent starting options and was slammed with depth basically every year from 2021 onward, consists of Nick Pivetta, Michael King, Randy Vasquez, German Marquez and Walker Buehler. Maybe three years ago this could have sounded promising. But Marquez is trying to convince people he can still pitch, and he's got a 4.50 ERA and only 5 Ks in 2 starts. Walker Buehler's looking pretty cooked, he's given up 7 earned runs in 6.2 innings. He's basically only starting due to lack of other options. Joe Musgrove is hurt and while he should be back within a month, because he hasn't pitched in a year or so, nobody's quite sure what he's gonna be working with. At some point Griffin Canning will return, but same concern. And so now that we're seeing Michael King and Nick Pivetta being around average so far...the concern grows.

Wildly, the best piece of this rotation so far has been Randy Vasquez, who at least showed promise in a swing role last year. In his first two starts, Vasquez has allowed only 1 earned run, struck out 11 and has a 0.9 WAR. He's displaying the sort of dominance he's wanted to work up towards, and with the number of questionable starting options the Padres have right now, it's a needed security. But considering that this rotation has seen commanding performances from Yu Darvish, Blake Snell, Dylan Cease and Musgrove, being down to just 'well Randy Vasquez is here' is a little concerning.

It's even more glaring when you realize that next to no one on this Padres team is currently hitting. Only one guy hitting over .240, and it's Miguel Andujar, who the Padres are wisely starting at DH this year. Everyone else is barely moving the ball, hitting around .220 or just struggling to get anything done. Tatis, Merrill, Machado, Cronenworth and Sheets haven't done much. Xander Bogaerts has done the most contact work but he hasn't exactly gotten people home. A lot of guys on this team are defensive liabilities. And even adding Nick Castellanos didn't seem to work for some reason. You've got a team of overpaid guys not hitting, you bring in Nick Castellanos, what did you expect him to do? Hit?? 

It is, of course, early, and the team could lock into place, but virtually none of their competitors, save for one, have accomplished much this season at all. When the Diamondbacks are looking like the comparative sleeper hit, that's damning. The Padres still have time to erase this deficit, but it's gonna take more than just one series. The tide needs to shift, and this may not be the roster for that to make all the difference.

Coming Tomorrow- Towards the end of last season, a lot of people assumed he'd be traded or dealt with in some other way, and lo and behold he's still as valuable as everyone thought he was, Basallo be damned.

Who to Gain, Who to Retain

 

2026 is yet another chapter in the many multi-faceted tactics of the Steve Cohen administration. He packed a roster one way, it didn't make the playoffs, he let it grow out, it made the playoffs, he added to it with Juan Soto, it didn't make the playoffs, he threw in the kitchen sink. And so we're now at the level of roster bloat that, by baseball standards SHOULD lead to a playoff team, but by Steve Cohen standards hasn't quite. The question is 'if you put Luis Robert, Bo Bichette, Freddy Peralta, Marcus Semien, Jorge Polanco, Devin Williams and Luke Weaver on the same team, one that already has Francisco Lindor and Juan Soto on it, can they all play well at the same time?' So far the answer is 'possibly yes'.

The 6-4 start the Mets have gotten off to is earned, and was definitely buttressed by a sharp series win against the San Francisco Giants, but...those losses against the Pirates and Cardinals stand out a little. Robert, Semien and Williams have taken to Queens handsomely, but Bichette is struggling on several levels, Polanco isn't hitting, and batters are finding the flaws in Freddy Peralta somehow. The big veteran Met performers have not been the ones you'd expect, with Clay Holmes getting off to the best start of everybody in the rotation, and Mark Vientos hitting .476 with 10 hits in 7 games. Vientos was looking to seal up the 3rd base spot, then 2025 happened and he was better off a backup, and now Swaggy V seems to be back in full force. I was in a thrift store in the tri-state area and they had a Swaggy V official Mets giveaway bobblehead priced at 15 bucks. I assume someone's snagged it by now, the way he's playing. Then again, when I found my Hunter Pence Phils bobble at a card show it was I think 7 bucks, so...maybe the price is keeping it there.

Ultimately, the Mets are proving that building a team means adding new people and stacking the deck with proven options. Marcus Semien is on this team because he allegedly wasn't gelling well with the Rangers, and you can tell Semien's in a better mood because, for the first time in like 5 years, he's actually hitting well in April. .257 average, 6 RBIs in 10 games, it's definitely better. Even at 35, Semien works as a solid mid-lineup bat with power perks. Like Polanco, he was a gamble, and he seems to be paying off.

But the other side of that coin is that to make room for all these new people, the Mets had to deal away a lot of working MLB options. Brandon Nimmo went to Texas in the Semien deal, and I think the Mets might be regretting that, seeing as he's hitting .359 with 14 hits and 4 RBIs in 10 games, and Carson Benge, in his stead...isn't. I think 'scorned at the way they left town' is sort of the theme of this Rangers team, cause they've got Andrew McCutchen, still mad at the Pirates, and he's hitting well. And I guess Jacob deGrom falls into this category as well, because the Mets didn't want him back and then signed the entire league. deGoat is looking alright so far this season, not fully exacerbating anything yet, but he has, at least been pretty dominant.

That's gotta be a tough one, when the Mets have to play the Rangers. DeGrom the ace, Nimmo leading the pack. Kumar Rocker, who they did not sign, also in the mix. Not like the O's series will be much easier, with Alonso and Helsley after their revenge. 

That's gonna be one of the themes of this season for sure, will the ex-Mets outdo the actual Mets. Last night Amed Rosario had a huge clutch homer for the Yankees, we're still hearing about Dominic Smith's steady work as DH in Atlanta, Alonso's plugged into that Orioles lineup, Seth Lugo's still a crucial part of the Royals rotation...the list goes on. The Rangers, even with their flaws, could be a team that eases into the race this year, and they've got a bit less pressure on them than the Mets. So it's an intriguing narrative, and we'll see if the Mets can do any better than last year, especially in the later months.

Coming Tonight: I know it's fun to talk about ex-Mets, but an ex-Yankee on a team loaded with them is off to a terrific start.

The Extra Perk of Extending Your Enemies

 

I think about the ending of John Carpenter's In The Mouth of Madness, where Sam Neill, who's spent the whole film in prison, basically wanders out the front door after a breakout. The whole film, we're led to believe he'll face consequences for something that wasn't his fault, and then the chaos of the film decides he won't after all, and he just sort of finds his way. That is how anyone who gets an extension this year that isn't a rookie should feel.

Nico Hoerner getting an extension is just a wild perk on the whole thing, because the guys getting locked down are the younger, more pressing guys like Konnor Griffin and Colt Emerson, or even the second or third year guys pieces like Tyler Soderstrom and Roman Anthony. And then suddenly you get Nico Hoerner signed for the next 7 or so years, solely because the Cubs have finally realized that they have one of the best all-around second basemen in the game and they don't want anyone else to have him. They were trying to move him, eventually decided not to, and...that's the right move. I think they also knew that the salary cap discussions are gonna make it difficult to do as many extensions in a year or so, and they wanted to get this in before they're limited. 

Thankfully, the Cubs are looking at yet another peak year for Hoerner, who they've already, smartly, built the team around. Right now he's hitting .273 with 5 RBIs and 5 doubles, plus a 0.8 WAR. Since his age-25 season in 2022, Hoerner has locked in and become that multi-tool, Sandberg-esque infielder for the Cubs, with exceptional defensive numbers, terrific contact hitting and crucial lineup presence. I remember they brought him up painfully early in 2019 to mend an injury-addled infield, and he honestly didn't do too badly for himself, but struggled for the next few years as the team shed a number of its Maddon-era strengths. Hoerner's a very classic-feeling presence, a career .280 hitter who doesn't strike out much at all, averages 170 hits a year, and owns his position. Him not making an all-star team to this point is, quite frankly, a travesty, but considering that Ozzie Albies, Ketel Marte and Luis Arraez also play in this division I sort of get it. Hopefully this is the year.

The Cubs, by the way, have struggled to find their footing thus far, despite a better team. The main issue has been the starting pitching, as Matt Boyd and Cade Horton are both injured, Steele is already missing time, Imanaga and Taillon have struggled, and Ben Brown still seems to be not quite ready for prime time. At the very least Edward Cabrera has been very sharp, but that was the guy they got for insurance. The bullpen hasn't been much better, with really only Daniel Palencia holding things down. The heart of the lineup still hasn't fully showed up, with Bregman, PCA, Busch and Swanson still looking for consistent success. It's clear the Brewers want this division this year, and the Cubs need to find a way to oppose them, even if this start was not what they wanted. 

Clearly there's a way through this, and enough constant performers like Hoerner will make it a lot easier to stomach. The injured guys will be back eventually [most of them anyway], and then hopefully this period will be long forgotten.

Coming Tomorrow- The Mets traded him for a similar veteran presence. Right now it's looking like neither team should have traded these guys. 

Don't Sleep on the Royals

 

Most other teams would be discouraged by the fact that their 9 hitter was doing the most damage two weeks in. I think the Royals are just relieved that Kyle Isbel remembered how to hit in the first place.

Cause the idea that I got was that Isbel was a defense-first outfielder who stayed in the lineup in spite of his lack of hitting success. Always a low-ish WAR, not a ton of true offensive production, maybe an RBI here and there, but mostly just nice catches. Right now Isbel is hitting .478 with 5 RBIs and 2 homers, plus 11 hits overall in 7 games. He got to 11 hits in 13 less plate appearances than Maikel Garcia. Logic dictates this is a early surge that could disappear in time for Bobby Witt, Jac Caglianone and Vinnie Pasquantino getting hot, but...it shows you that even the 9 guy can go nuts for this team. 

This is why you can never really count out the Royals under this current administration [I mean Quatraro, I'm not making a broader statement about anything else]. They've got crazy depth and a wide range of options. Kyle Isbel can swing in and go crazy on contact. Maikel Garcia can be the hero, as he has been frequently lately. Salvy Perez can still swing a bat, AND he can hold his own against the umps. The plan seems to be to platoon Lane Thomas and Isaac Collins til either one shows long term readiness, which I think works considering they've both shown a partial spark at least. They also have Starling Marte hanging about, and he can occasionally pitch in, when not being roped into a lineup when the usual DH option is oversleeping. 

The place where I see the depth running out might actually be the bullpen. Carlos Estevez is out, and Lucas Erceg is taking the closing assignments. It could be going a lot better. Only Nick Mears is showing any degree of dominance of this unit. Everybody else has been very human, and very ineffective. Even Matt Strahm, who I bet is missing Philly about now, is trying to get his ERA back below 4. The starting guys have been okay for the most part, despite the high home run totals [Michael Wacha just gave up one for Steven Kwan]. And I do think, if Bubic and Ragans and Lugo can stay healthy this year, they're playoff-caliber. But I just don't know if the pitching has the same level of depth as the hitting. They brought up Luinder Avila the other day to face the Brewers, and he got kinda chewed up by 'em. Ryan Bergert is waiting if need be, but there's not a lot of surefire guys lined up next, at least not yet.

Still, the Royals look decent, and if Witt really takes off this year they could go on a tear. I can already see some real strengths. We'll just see how far they can take these guys.

Coming Tomorrow- After years of trade rumors, the Cubs finally gave this guy the extension he deserves. Now the real work begins. 

Nothing Was The Same

 

To be perfectly honest, the Braves' first two weeks would have been a success if they'd gotten through without their top 4 bursting into flames, but starting 6-4 given everyone that's already been injured is a very good sign. They're without Schwellenbach, Strider and Waldrep, and Sean Murphy and Ha-Seong Kim, for a bit, and they have to proceed with a less confident rotation and a slightly compromised defensive schematic. It's a good thing they're the Atlanta Braves, though.

First of all, I owe Drake Baldwin an apology. Last year I was not convinced he would be in any way a non-negotiable factor for the league, as his rookie campaign was merely above-average to me rather than game-changing. I thought it was nonsensical for the Braves to go ahead with a new catcher considering that they already had Sean Murphy, and I simply thought Cade Horton was a more impactful addition to a roster. However, Cade Horton's missing time with some arm issues and Drake Baldwin is one of the most explosive hitters in the game right now. So at the moment it's looking like I was misinformed. Baldwin is currently hitting .300 with 4 homers and 12 RBIs, both league leading, and is far and away leading the Braves right now, in the stead of both Ronald Acuna and Austin Riley, who haven't really started hitting yet. Even factoring in some of the usual suspects, like Matt Olson, and Michael Harris, Baldwin's accomplished the most for this offense so far.

But the organization's emphasis on stocking the deck has made for some excellent replacement-level decisions that are already benefitting the team. Mauricio Dubon was dealt by the Astros for reasons that are still somewhat hazy, but Kim's injury means he gets to start at shortstop everyday, and he's done an excellent job of that, while continuing his contact excellence from Houston. Dominic Smith was brought in as a potential bench option but has fielded the majority of DH starts, and has 2 home runs and a walk-off under his belt. Even Jorge Mateo is coming to life as a bench bat. This team is well-built enough to withstand lapses, which very much counters the excuse from 2025.

Now, the pitching is still sort of problematic, because without those young arms the back end of the rotation are guys like Bryce Elder, Grant Holmes and Martin Perez. But even they're not too bad. Elder's yet to allow an earned run this year, and has kept balls mostly in play. Perhaps his issues of the last two years are finally behind him? Holmes is also still pretty good, albeit not especially flashy. I think the goal is to eventually work Didier Fuentes up to starting, and he was decent in a long relief outing but evidently not ready yet. They at least have Chris Sale and Reynaldo Perez in excellent shape. Very much supports the theory that after pitching a full season of grade A work, most starters should likely take the following season off. 

The 'pen looks good, the depth is there, the production is there. There's a few guys in the lineup who aren't all the way back yet, but it's early. As it stands right now, the Braves are looking better than they have in a couple years, and may be a factor in the NL East again. Let's just see if they can keep it going.

Coming Tonight: When your #9 hitter is doing the brunt of the work, something needs to be reassessed. 

Fried 'Em And Weep

 

So, uh...guess who's 7-1 and holding onto the best record in baseball?

Let me get ahead of any attempts to delegitimize this, because you know people will try. The Yankees began the season playing the Giants, who have since taken games from the Padres and Mets, meaning they can contend with great teams. The Yankees then took two from the Mariners, themselves a very good team who aim to compete this year. And they're looking to sweep the Marlins, who, regardless of their very strong first week or so, are starting their worst starter, Chris Paddack, today. None of these have been gimmes, and many of these have been without great strides from Aaron Judge or Jazz Chisholm. 

The team is just good right now. Last night, they managed to battle back TWICE against a very crafty Marlins team, and got themselves out of trouble on multiple occasions. The lineup has enough clutch ability to stay in it, and Giancarlo Stanton, Ben Rice, Cody Bellinger and Trent Grisham were all on hand to keep the game close and refuse an upset by the Marlins, who themselves were really fighting for it. Also, crucially, last night Ryan Weathers gave the team a rare okay starting performance, allowing 3 earned runs and 6 hits in 3.2 innings. And let's just check, for comparison's sake, how many runs Paddack gave up in his first start-OH THAT'S RIGHT, EIGHT! And two home runs! You know who's given up two runs? Will Warren. And he's the only Yankee so far to have given up any home runs. And...knowing Will Warren, that kinda tracks honestly. He does two things, he strikes people out and he gives up home runs. 

Max Fried is starting today, and so far he's been just about flawless. 2 starts, 5 hits, 2 walks, no earned runs. Guy's got a 0.9 WAR in early April. We signed this guy to be a solid high-to-mid rotation option, just get up and do the job for 32 starts, and he's exceeded even those expectations. At some point this season, we're gonna get Gerrit Cole and Carlos Rodon back, and possibly even Clarke Schmidt. And the fact that even before those contingency plans get here, a skeleton crew of Fried, Cam Schlittler and Will Warren has been near-flawless against some good teams...that is a good sign. I'm not saying we don't still need Cole and Rodon, but it makes any trepidation towards a period without them seem shortsighted in hindsight. 

Now, there are still issues, because of course there are. Some sloppy fielding, as one would expect. Ryan McMahon hasn't started hitting at all. Randal Grichuk's promotion seems to have been a mistake, and with both Dominguez and Jones on the 40-man it just seems like a way of leveraging service time. Camilo Doval and David Bednar need to get over their current yips, as the highs are very high but the runs are beginning to pile up. At some point Luis Gil is gonna need to swing in, and eventually something will need to be done with Weathers if he doesn't even out, or possibly even if he does. 

The A's should be relatively simple, but the Rays always know our number. I hope they can stay strong amidst this stretch, and keep this momentum going all year. Cause, again, the people we knew we'd be without haven't even gotten here yet and the team's still this good. Very promising.

Coming Tomorrow- One would have thought the Braves would have a Marcell Ozuna-shaped hole in their RBI numbers this year, and thanks to this guy....not really.

Just Long Enough to Come Back Around

 

The thing about Michael Soroka is that it was always a possibility that he would come back around to pitching like he did in 2019. That was always something that could happen, even if injuries, general struggles and control issues commenced ever since. It was just a matter of who would be the last team not to lose their patience. The Braves got tired of waiting, the White Sox, the Nationals, arguably the Cubs. So when the Diamondbacks signed the 28-year-old to a 1-year deal, it was as risky as it was for everyone else. Maybe it happens. Maybe it doesn't. 

But when Michael Soroka's first start as a Diamondback broke Randy Johnson's record for the most strikeouts in a debut performance for Arizona...I think the D-Backs felt a lot better about themselves. Soroka is clearly high risk/high reward, but the reward sometimes can be sheer dominance. And it seems that Soroka is still capable of dominance. 

The Diamondbacks have gotten lucky in that respect a few times over this year. Aside from Soroka, the D-Backs have gotten two strong, scoreless starts from Eduardo Rodriguez, who struggled through injuries the first two years of the contract. They've gotten flawless work from Jonathan Loiasiga, who struggled to stay healthy in New York. They called up Jose Fernandez just in time for him to hit 2 homers in his debut. Even Zac Gallen, who's struggled the last few years, is returning to his former glory. The theme of this D-Backs team right now is 'we're alright with waiting, as long as what we're waiting for is worth it.' Soroka, Rodriguez and eventually Corbin Burnes will make up a backbone of this rotation, and it took the team not giving up on any of them. It'd be easy to give up on E-Rod, considering they just gave up on Jordan Montgomery. But the instincts to this team are still right, even if they're not blooming immediately.

This is the same team that has refused to trade Ketel Marte, didn't worry when Corbin Carroll had a hamate bone injury, allowed Merrill Kelly to leave only to re-sign him anyway, and are now stomaching yet another setback for Jordan Lawlar. They've got a plan. They just know it doesn't need to kick in immediately. And so they can enjoy the spoils even if, logically, they're playing for 2nd or 3rd.

So one of the spoils is this current matchup against the Braves. Michael Soroka is facing his former team, who is forced to start Bryce Elder due to trading away too many of their GOOD homegrown options. And as I write this he's been really strong. Only a handful of hits, an earned run, keeping it in the park. Bryce Elder, meanwhile, can't even make the easy out if it's handed to him. It'll be a cool upset if it happens, and it proves that the D-Backs have a surprising amount of early momentum. 

Coming Tomorrow- Ironically another former Braves starting pitcher they let go. This one's had a bit more consistent success, though.

Don't Get Too Excited..

 

It's very easy to get to first in your division when you have to play the Angels and Red Sox and your opponent has to play the Yankees. 

I'm not ruling out the connotation that the Astros are a good team this year. The way the league works, any team can bounce back at any point, and the way the Astros organization is built, enough pieces can recover from an injury-lost year to make you forget it ever happened. This current Astros front office is so good at putting the exact correct people in position to succeed, and even if last year showed the limits of that [Jason Alexander, Brendan Rodgers, Jesus Sanchez], it's still completely attainable, and it prevents the Astros from ever being truly counted out, even if they're logically past their window. 

However. Even in a team that has begun the season 5-3, and has sole position of first in the AL East, there are visible signs that not everything is as solid as usual. And I generally mean the pitching.

Right now, the Astros' rotation consists of Hunter Brown, off to a terrific start, Lance McCullers, finally putting the injury period behind him, Mike Burrows, doing basically what he did in Pittsburgh, Cristian Javier, who may not be completely recovered from his injuries, and Tatsuya Imai, who got absolutely lit up in his first start. The bullpen is without Josh Hader, Bryan Abreu is nowhere near as dominant as he was last year, and it's been up to guys like A.J. Blubaugh and Kai-Wei Teng to be the difference makers. The team ERA is currently 5.45. If the team wasn't hitting .259 that'd stand out more.

Now, normally you can chalk a rough Opening Day rotation up to a large shelf of injured pitchers. But now you have to remember that Framber Valdez, Jose Urquidy and Luis Garcia are all gone. The only actual injured starters at the moment are Ronel Blanco, Brandon Walter and Hayden Wesneski. One can assume that Spencer Arrighetti is rehabbing in the minors and that's why he's not up with the team, but it's ideally just those three. Meaning Mike Burrows is your #3 man not because purely of circumstance...but because he really is the third best starter they've got right now. 

That really is gonna be what the question is this year: can the Astros truly compete without the luxury of having an elite pitching staff? Because the hitting, as it looks at the moment, won't be much of a concern. Yordan Alvarez is 100% back, his poor 2025 completely behind him, and he's hitting .400 with 3 homers and 7 RBIs already. Jose Altuve, Christian Walker and Carlos Correa are all hitting again. The contact game is a little weak but the idea is that it'll get there, especially considering Cam Smith and Jake Meyers are still factors. There is a possibility that the lineup depth this team sported could also be diluted as well, and it may be down to a more power-centric focus than they've had in years. But right now they're coasting on Alvarez's success and hoping they can build out the rest. And if not, this will come down to how long the pitching can last. Because as good as Hunter Brown has been, he, like every other young pitcher, is a ticking timebomb headed towards the potential for an injury. It happened to Cade Horton, it could happen here.

The Astros' strong first week or so illuminates that they still intend to compete, and they still have some great assets. Those flaws are also very much on display, and if they don't have a plan to work around them, they could miss out on the playoffs for the second year in a row. And as much as I'd love to see that, I know this team's way too good to just let that happen.

Coming Tonight: Dude struck out 10 in his debut with a new team, years after being essentially written off by the league. Is...is he BACK?

Worth the Extra Week?

 
Last week I wrote about the Pirates' at-the-time puzzling decision to hold Konnor Griffin back, despite the fact that everyone knew he wouldn't spend the whole season in Indianapolis. And I pointed to all the immediate successes of rookies and Opening Day call-ups. Then this week it became clear that the Pirates' infield options, Nick Gonzales and Jared Triolo, weren't gonna cut it, and seeing as Griffin was ready and hitting well in Triple-A, they decided to just quit loafing about and promote the guy. Plus a surprise mega extension contract, which...I assume has made Paul Skenes feel great about himself.

And honestly? Part of me gets why they did this. Especially now that, even in that first week of major league play, a lot can happen.

First of all, from a promotional standpoint, bringing out Konnor Griffin in time for the home opener in Pittsburgh is a smart move. Attendance is already dwindling, that should rope people in for now. It also helps that the Pirates are actually winning games, and swiped some close matches from the Mets and Reds. You could make the case of 'well, with all the games we can win, we don't need the help', and that case makes no sense considering the comparison between two replacement level options and Griffin's potential numbers. It also sets up a continued April swell from a team who are slowly bringing on crucial pieces [and also Marcell Ozuna].

But...even in the case of an early, Opening Day call-up, something ridiculous could happen. A couple years ago Ke'Bryan Hayes got hurt almost immediately as the season began, and I believe it happened to Oneil Cruz as well. Logan O'Hoppe had a fantastic rookie campaign going a few years back only to be sidelined midway through April. And this week, Chase de Lauter's wonderful rookie campaign in Cleveland was tripped up by a foot injury. He's hit 4 homers in 6 games, been the hero in most of them, and now he's being moved to DH for the time being to not exacerbate the foot. 

It's also happened many times that someone has been called up as a sure bet and struggled at the MLB level. Remember Jackson Holliday's 2024 call-up, and how long it took him to figure out the majors, even resulting in a ride back to Norfolk and a ton of stories saying 'he's washed, there's no point, trade him for Tarik Skubal.' And last year he figured it out. Already this year, we've seen the Brewers call up Jeferson Quero then immediately send him down, the Marlins call up Deyvison de los Santos and demote him after hitting a hefty double, and the Mariners keep optioning Ryan Bliss. Some guys just aren't ready even when it looks like they are, or they simply just don't factor into the team's overall plan.

But at the same time, there's also the kinds of guys who come up and make you question why you even doubted them. Sal Stewart for Cincinnati is one of those guys. Last year they called him up for a stretch run, dude had 18 games and he made 'em count, hitting .255 with 5 homers and 8 RBIs. This year he got 1st base straight away, and he's been incredible, hitting .474 with 9 hits and 2 homers in 7 games. People had been calling Stewart a surefire success, and sure enough he feels like the kind of consistent, reliable contact hitter that the Reds had been missing after Joey Votto's retirement. Even in a crowded division, Stewart have given the Reds another crucial piece to get them closer to a perennial playoff experience. 

Konnor Griffin could be that guy for the Pirates. I think they're prepared for either outcome, either he's a Skenes type and it's perfect immediately or he's a Henry Davis type and he's gotta figure himself out for a bit before the magic happens. Still, the sky's the limit at this point.

Coming Tomorrow- I think my skin cleared up a bit in a season without this guy being good at baseball. Oh well, right?

Do My Eyes Deceive Me?

 

Every year, in addition to the teams we figure are gonna do well, there's always one that has a strong start that nobody is expecting to. A couple years ago the Pirates were one of the best teams in April, and then a joke by June. Last May the Twins had a ridiculous winning streak and by July the Pohlads decided it wasn't sustainable. I like to think, at this point, that I know the difference between the start of something beautiful [the 2015 Mets in April] or a complete mirage [the 2013 Brewers]. 

But I'm looking at this Marlins team right now and I don't know what I believe. Yes, it is more likely than not that the Braves, Mets and Phillies will come storming back and control the division like everyone is expecting them to. But the Marlins...look good. I know they played the Rockies in the first series and have had to play the White Sox this week, but even if it is against bad teams, this is a more confident, well-assembled Marlins team. Clearly.

There's so many pieces of this team that, in 2025, were thought as perfunctory or auxiliary pieces, and those guys are now plugged into this team firmly. Javier Sanoja seems to have a permanent infield position and is hitting .583. Liam Hicks is no longer a fledgling backup catcher and now he currently leads the league in RBIs with 12. Janson Junk was a swing guy who took a few starts when the Marlins had no options, and now he's a trusty fifth man who does what he's supposed to. Additionally, there was a spot on this team to fit Owen Caissie [perpetually blocked behind PCA and co], and he's been tremendous in Miami, hitting .350 with 8 RBIs. I do think about what the outfield is gonna look like when Kyle Stowers gets back, and how he, Caissie and Jakob Marsee could form a pretty powerful unit out there.

The new factors of this team are also reestablishing just how well-ironed some of the preexisting aspects are. Xavier Edwards and Otto Lopez, their first couple years in Miami, felt like potential place-filler options until better guys came along, and as something resembling elder statesmen on this team, they still have a big role to play. Edwards's contact game has been sharp, as he's currently hitting .409 with a steal. Lopez is hitting .318 and has a homer. Sandy Alcantara is back to his old self, 2-0 with no earned runs and 12 Ks through his first 2 starts. There's a chance some may be dealt later on this year, but knowing how impressive the youth movement is on this team, it could just be for all the right reasons. Besides, considering how ready Deyvison de los Santos looks for the majors, I kinda wish for any sort of move to justify bringing him back up.

The real test for this Marlins team will be how they do against the Yankees this weekend. There's a good team with a much fuller lineup and a much scarier pitching staff. Can they show they can be a spoiler, even this early? Or will this go...just about as well as everyone's thinking it will?

Coming Tomorrow- A guy that made a postseason roster, than an Opening Day roster, then he hit a ton of home runs.

Cease on Earth

 

So let's ignore for a moment...that the Blue Jays got the snot beaten out of them yesterday by the Colorado Rockies, and let's ignore that it happened because Cody Ponce immediately got hurt in his return to US pitching and handed it to a bullpen that completely collapsed given the opportunity to leg out the rest of the game, and let's also ignore that the Rockies went 0-3 against the Marlins and took it out on the Jays in a very similar manner to the 2024 Astros after getting swept by the Yankees, and while we're at it let's also blind ourselves to the fact that the starting pitcher that kept this team down was Tomoyuki Sugano, who 2025 Jays batters had a .291 average against with 16 hits and 2 homers in 3 games. 

Let's...ignore all that. The Jays began the 2026 season against the Oakland Athletics, a team that was actually expected to improve this year, and who are currently the only 0-4 team remaining. The Jays were able to diminish the output of Nick Kurtz, Brent Rooker, Jacob Wilson and Lawrence Butler. Regardless of how the A's are able to even out, that still takes a fair amount of skill.

I am still of the belief that the scrappy play that got the Jays to a World Series last year is only gonna work that once. Both Addison Barger and Nathan Lukes are still hitless, Alejandro Kirk's sole hit so far has been a homer, and even with Andres Gimenez hitting up a storm, the absence of Bo Bichette still casts a large shadow on this team. I think they're just gonna have to alter their approach a bit this year, and actually shift to a more traditional lineup rather than the army of fill-ins that led them to compete. The additions of both Jesus Sanchez and Kazuma Okamoto lead me to believe that while contact is still possible, it may just need to be a bit more balanced now, and a bit less unpolished. Okamoto can hit home runs and help out with contact, and Sanchez's OPS is telling me he's branched out as well. We'll just see how sustainable it is.

Currently unquestionable though is the degree of excellence in that rotation. Gausman and Cease both had terrific opening starts, with Gausman proving he can still be dominant even in his mid-30s, and Cease proving the K rate isn't the only takeaway, regardless of how things go the third time through the lineup. I do think Cease and the Jays are ideal for each other, and he's better off someplace like Toronto than weighing out San Diego. While I do think the team will really appreciate it when Yesavage and Bieber come back, Eric Lauer is still a perfectly fine starting option, Max Scherzer came back for a reason, and I'm guessing either Ricky Tiedemann or Jake Bloss will fill in sufficiently in Ponce's stead. 

Right now, even with the Rockies loss in their rearview, the Jays look like the team to beat in the AL East. Yes, I'm aware that the Yankees also had a nice start. I'm just waiting to see how long it takes for their offense to come back after last night. 

Coming Tomorrow- Speaking of the Rockies, a trusty infield bat for the team that made them start 0-3.

18 and Life

 

The Dodgers, this week, are gonna become the first team in history to start 3 Japanese pitchers in a row. Roki Sasaki tonight, Shohei tomorrow, and Yamamoto Wednesday. It's genuinely amazing to see a team go all-in on Japanese pitching, and it's cool that it's the Dodgers, who technically re-started the trend in '95 by bringing over Hideo Nomo, and later Kasuhisa Ishii, doing it. This, in combination with the use of Hyeseong Kim as an infield piece, have made the Dodgers one of the most internationally-friendly teams out there.

And it might be an exciting narrative if the Dodgers weren't already the far-and-away favorite to win the World Series. 

Look, as it's the third year of this, I've tried to get my feelings on this to atrophy a bit, because I feel bad. I don't HATE the Dodgers, they develop great teams and their heroes are hard to hate. It's the wealth disparity thing I dislike. This offseason the Mets spent a great deal to try and catch LA, and other teams like the Cubs and Yankees still put the money up for things like this. But the Dodgers still have one of the best teams, and used the offseason to get Edwin Diaz, one of the best closers in the bigs, and Kyle Tucker, one of the best outfield bats out there. All the things that are leaving the Dodgers are things they no longer have a use for, all the main pieces are still in their prime, and all the people joining the team are excellent. Generally, if the best team wins it all, it's not the most exciting outcome, especially when they're already spending more than anyone else. 

Now again, it's not just spending, it's the rubber hitting the road. And so far, the Dodgers, given a series against an easy team like Arizona, are undefeated. They've done this, strangely, without much offensive production from Shohei Ohtani, Kyle Tucker, Mookie Betts and Teoscar Hernandez. That's...the bulk of the power. And they're still winning games, just off contact and some of the other stars. Alex Freeland's already making waves coming in on Miguel Rojas's position, the bullpen has yet to give up an earned run, and Will Smith leads the team in RBIs with 5. 

And they've held it down with some great starting performances so far. Tyler Glasnow and Yoshinobu Yamamoto have held up the top of the rotation well, both going 6 with 6 Ks. Yoshi is gonna be relied upon as the ace this year, and I think he's fully able to take that on. Honestly, Blake Snell might settle into that 3 spot when he come back, and Emmet Sheehan, unless he recovers, might be relegated to a swingman role. There's much worse guys to hand the ball to in a big game than Yamamoto, and I'm so glad he's become a great MLB option after a strong Japanese career. 

I think the Dodgers are already proving that they can build a competitor even if it's not the ways you're thinking they will. I think they can afford some slow starts provided everything comes together by September. I think it'll be great for history if they can win a third. Maybe not for me specifically, or for people that like interesting developments, but it's been years since the Yankees dynasty, or the Giants', and maybe it's just needed now. 

Coming Tomorrow- He throws smoke, he gets the job done, and he leaves teams right at the moment they stop winning games.

Dom Voyage

 

Everything I saw about the Italian national team in the WBC just made me happy. Cause it was always tinged with 'LOOK AT THESE FUN DUDES'. You've got Jac Caglianone, Dominic Canzone, Michael Lorenzen, Vinnie Pasquantino, Aaron Nola and Jakob Marsee, they're all hangin out and upsetting games and you can't not love that. It's also illegal to not enjoy a team coached by Sal Fasano and Jorge Posada and managed by Francisco Cervelli. I'm not Italian but I was rooting for those guys after a while. And when I couldn't love them enough, Pasquantino brings out the espresso machine, which all the money from went towards local autism charities. Like, COME ON. 

And it was so welcome compared to the US team, which was devoutly serious. They did that tournament like they were preparing for war. Country music blaring, no joking around, 'this is a job to do'. And the 2017 team was so much fun. Granted, there were a few more non-white people on that team, so uh...draw your own conclusions. Like, there's a reason Cal Raleigh got absolutely clowned on for refusing a handshake from Randy Arozarena. Randy understands that this tournament is for bragging rights, and it's mostly just a fun time with your contemporaries from the same country, it's about national pride. It's not a frigging land operation. 

I just think it's really cool that Dominic Canzone goes from the feel good team of the WBC to a truly exciting Mariners team. You know, ya whetted your appetite, you got your reps in, and then you go and play outfield for the guys looking to win the AL West. Keep in mind, the Arozarena-Raleigh thing is still dying down, and Raleigh's been struggling to find his 2025 swing, but there in the corner is Dominic Canzone just doing his thing, he's got 2 hits so far, both of them homers, and 3 RBIs. Sometimes you need a fun vibes guy like that when everything's fraught. Canzone is sharing right with Luke Raley pretty much but both guys are off to nice starts. The idea, I'm guessing is for Canzone to take the majority of starts at RF, Raley to platoon at DH with Rob Refsnyder, and the younger infield to keep things cool. Even without J.P. Crawford I'm confident this team has the pieces to hold things down, with Rivas and Young and all.

Right now there's the slightest bit of concern with the Mariners, as even if they've stayed toe-to-toe with Cleveland they've dropped 2 very close games, both thanks in part to Chase De Lauter coming alive late. The bullpen is not as strong as last year, and Eduard Bazardo, Gabe Speier and Andres Munoz have struggled putting games away. Josh Naylor has yet to register a hit, and Cal Raleigh only just got started. Julio Rodriguez is also off to a slow start, but...that's kinda normal for him honestly. Midway through May he springs to life and takes off, that's his thing. 

I'm still very confident the Mariners can get something done this year, but they need to clean up some of these early stumbling points, including the usually-strong pitching. I'd love for them to repeat as AL West champs, but this year they have competition, and the Astros probably want revenge or something silly like that. So we'll see how things end up.

Coming Tomorrow- Speaking of Italy, someone recently asked me if Mario is canonically a Dodgers fan. Which confused me. And then he showed me an official Dodgers promotion for a bobblehead of Yoshi, from the Mario games, in a Dodgers uniform, wearing #18. And I had to go 'oh, nonononono. Y'see, there's this guy on the Dodgers...'

Miz-ery Business

 

Here's a fun fact about the Milwaukee Brewers, looking to defend their momentous NL Central championship from last year: only one person who's played in a game for the team so far is over 30. Christian Yelich. Obviously there are a couple others on the pitching staff who haven't appeared yet, Jared Koenig and Trevor Megill and Brandon Woodruff, but this is a very young team. The Cardinals are similarly young, but there's not a single all-star to be found on that team, whereas the Brewers have Contreras and Yelich and Sanchez and the Miz. And that's the thing: this may be a young team, but there's still infrastructure. I genuinely believe that they've built enough to get them far.

Now, again, after the trades this team made to get the payroll down, that may seem ambitious. Not only is Freddy Peralta, the staff ace, gone, but so are Caleb Durbin and Isaac Collins, two guys that could have been young stars going forward. But the idea I'm getting is that they have so many young pieces that they want to build properly and not trap guys that could be MLB options under perennial stars, or the Jasson Dominguez tract as it's known in the biz. Therefore, Collins gets dealt so Frelick, Mitchell and Lockridge can play, Durbin gets dealt so there's eventually room for Jett Williams and Jesus Made, and Peralta's dealt so Henderson, Miz and even Carlos Rodriguez can see starting time. So even without those pieces, the Brewers can still stand a chance, as they have so far.

The Miz start on Thursday was the stuff legends are made of. He gives up a home run early, fine, but he locks in, K's 11 and cements his place at the top of the rotation. There was some hesitation putting Miz out there Game 1, as the Brewers have Brandon Woodruff, and could have leaned on veteran presence rather than putting the kids out there immediately. But Misiorowski does have the stuff, and the controlled innings last year gave him enough juice to power through a full year this year. The optimal idea would be for Henderson, Chad Patrick and potentially Robert Gasser and Quinn Priester to line up behind Miz for a formidable rotation going forward. It's really just a matter of if all these guys are durable. 

I also look at somebody like Joey Ortiz, who's very much a placeholder til Williams and Made are here. Ortiz put in the work to improve at the plate during the spring, and he's already got 3 hits and 2 RBI as I write this to begin the season. Even if he knows he's cannon fodder once the prospects are ready, he's performing better than he has to date, and he wants to make this team great. Same with David Hamilton, he's clearly filling third for the time being, but he's got even more perks than he did in Boston, and has the needed contact prowess to fit in with this team. I put Lockridge into that category as well- like last year, he's filling in for Jackson Chourio, but he's excellent in the outfield and he gets on base. He's gotta be valuable while he can.

The big indication that the rebuild will happen as the team's competing was the news today that Jeferson Quero's joining the team, filling in for Andrew Vaughn. What this allows for, I'm guessing is for Gary Sanchez to DH more often, Jake Bauers to cover 1st more often, and Quero to become the go-to backup catcher. Quero was this team's big prospect before Made came along, and I'd love to see Quero cash in the second he gets the chance and give this team even more stability at a position that previously seemed a non-issue. 

So yeah, even if some of the exclamation point has dissipated, this is still a very strong Brewers team, and I still see them accomplishing great things this year, despite the competition. 

Coming Tomorrow- Fresh off surprising a lot of people in the WBC, he settles in as a reliable depth option for another reigning champ.

Why Wait?

 

I think we can all agree that Opening Day of 2026 was a net loss for the Pittsburgh Pirates on more levels than anyone previously thought.

Not only does Paul Skenes get chased, not only does Oneil Cruz crap out, not only is the bullpen not there yet, but by the end of that first day you see universally that the only team to not give a big rookie prospect a day 1 shot may have been the Pittsburgh Pirates. Who held Konnor Griffin back for the service perks, like usual. Looking around at the rest of the league, you're seeing immediate success from rookie call-ups, or rookie leave-ups, and while the Pirates did bring Hunter Barco with them to the bigs, Griffin is still trapped behind Nick Gonzales and probably won't make the bigs til mid-to-late April, or whenever Topps' Update cutoff is. 

So...let's rub it in some more and talk about the guys that did super well yesterday on call-ups:

-Kevin McGonigle, Tigers. The big one. In game one, the Delaware County native went 4-for-5 with 2 RBIs, 2 doubles and 2 runs. Right from the start of spring training basically, all anyone heard about was how this guy was on the way to greatness, even on a squad that still has Max Clark coming soon. Giving McGonigle shortstop out of camp, even with Jace Jung still on the team, seems to be the way forward, and if the rest of this season is as good as that game was, the Tigers might be alright.

-J.J. Wetherholt, Cardinals. Another young infielder, this one the prized Cardinals prospect, a former 7th overall pick, and a rare Cardinals farmhand not netted in a firesale. Wetherholt took over from Brendan Donovan's run at 2nd with a bang, hitting a homer in his first at-bat, and finishing the day with 2 RBIs. The Cardinals' eventual comeback victory over Tampa doesn't happen without Wetherholt being the forerunner. Already fans are excited about this guy, and in a season without any clear veteran presence, what's not to be excited about?

Chase de Lauter, Guardians. The outfield bat made his debut during the 2025 postseason, so yesterday's opener against Seattle was technically de Lauter's regular season debut. He made it count, with a TWO-HOMER GAME, the second of which coming late enough to be the difference-maker. 

Justin Crawford, Phillies. For about a year now it's been clear that Crawford, the slap-hitting CF speedster son of Carl, was on the way, and the hope was that we wouldn't deal him before he got to the bigs. Lo and behold, a spot was paved directly for him to start the season, and his debut against Texas came with 2 hits and a run. Dude did exactly what he came to do, and was part of an excellent Opening Day win.

Sal Stewart, Reds. Crucially, this corner infield phenom for Cincinnati is a bench bat for my fantasy team this year, and I wanted him to get off to a decent start for that reason, in addition to reestablishing the full-team stronghold for the Reds. Even against a dominant Red Sox team, Stewart still had a very productive day, going three for four with 2 doubles. The Reds had only 4 hits in that game, and Stewart alone was responsible for 3 of them.

Carson Benge, Mets. If Mike Tauchman doesn't get injured, I'm not certain Benge, the well-hyped outfield bat for the Mets, gets this opportunity, but given a starting spot in a crowded Mets lineup yesterday he still had time for his first ever career homer, making Lindor and Bichette the only hitless Mets v. Pittsburgh.

So that tells you everything you need to know. If all those guys can allow for young players to start day 1 and be the hero, the Pirates have absolutely no excuse. As usual.

Coming Tomorrow- I got very worried when he gave up a home run immediately yesterday, but 10 strikeouts later I was a lot more at ease.